Not-So-Private Equity
08-19-2003 | Source: Institutional Investor Magazine, Americas and International Editions
IN THE FALL OF 2001, THE CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEES' RETIREMENT
SYSTEM BEGAN fielding calls and letters from Matt Marshall, a
journalist at the San Jose Mercury News. The reporter wanted
information on the performance of CalPERS's private equity
investments, including details on companies owned by funds in its
portfolio.
The nation's biggest pension fund, citing nondisclosure clauses
in its investment partnership agreements, refused to comply. The
Mercury News turned up the heat with letters from its
lawyers, arguing that a state agency is obliged to make such
disclosures and noting that CalPERS had previously published
selective private equity performance data in brochures and on its
Web site. CalPERS continued to demur.
Then the newspaper tried another route. It filed a request under
California's Public Records Act, the state's version of the federal
Freedom of Information Act, which limits government agencies'
ability to withhold data except when it pertains to sensitive
matters of security, law enforcement and trade secrets. CalPERS
argued that performance data are trade secrets, and thus exempt,
but the fund's previous disclosures undermined its defense, and
last December it agreed to a settlement. CalPERS would reveal how
much it had earned or lost in each of the private equity funds it
invests in, but it wouldn't disclose the identities or valuations
of individual companies in the portfolios.
The settlement, consistent with -- and spurred by -- a November
ruling by San Francisco Superior Court Judge James Robertson, was a
landmark, a clear sign that the private equity asset class had
grown too big and prominent to maintain its clubby and secretive
ways.
"The people of California are entitled to know how their
retirement money is being invested and what kind of performance
they're getting," reasons David Yarnold, who was executive editor
of the Mercury News when it was pursuing CalPERS and who now
oversees the paper's editorial and opinion pages. "It's the height
of arrogance to say to the people whose money you're investing that
they're not smart enough to understand performance results."
A similar demand from the Houston Chronicle forced the
University of Texas Investment Management Co. to disclose its
private equity fund performance in October. In December the
California State Teachers' Retirement System and the Oregon Public
Employees Retirement System both agreed to disclose their
investments' internal rates of return. And in March the University
of Michigan decided to disclose its private equity results.
The pressure for disclosure isn't coming only from news
organizations. Student groups and labor unions have gotten in on
the act, pushing for transparency from private endowments, such as
those of Harvard University and Yale University, which are exempt
from open-records laws. Mark O'Hare, co-founder of Private Equity
Intelligence, an online information service, is using open-records
laws in Massachusetts, Texas and elsewhere to collect data on state
agencies' holdings in more than 1,500 private equity funds and
resell information about those funds to investors, private equity
firms and financial advisers. Freedom-of-information principles,
says O'Hare, "make it impossible to stop disclosure."
The private equity industry -- limited liability partnerships
making investments primarily in private companies, including the
relatively high-risk start-ups that receive venture capital funding
-- has long defended its selective disclosure practices. Discretion
traditionally ensured a level of comfort between fund managers and
their investors. If public pension funds have to disclose too much,
so the logic goes, private equity partnerships might be less
willing to invite them in.
Under normal contractual arrangements only general and limited
partners are privy to the financials. But the industry has grown
too big, important and international to maintain its veil of
secrecy, especially at a time when public markets have tumbled and
fraud has been exposed in other corners of the financial world.
"It illustrates a fundamental tension," says Joseph Dear,
executive director of the Washington State Investment Board, which
has released private equity performance data upon request since
1998 in accordance with a state public records law. "A public
agency must be transparent and accountable and at the same time
carry out the functions of a major investment management
organization, for which privacy is necessary in extremely
competitive financial markets." The board now earmarks 12 percent
of its $51.8 billion portfolio for private equity.
Demands for accountability are also coming from large
limited-partner investors, who are pushing for more timeliness and
transparency in the way private equity and venture capital firms'
portfolio holdings are valued. Although the buy-side investors can
get thorough reports from their general partners, they often invest
in so many private equity funds -- 350 in CalPERS's case -- that it
is virtually impossible to keep close tabs on the individual
companies held in those portfolios. Further complicating their task
is the fact that different funds may ascribe different valuations
to the same company. Such imprecision might have been acceptable
during the market bubble of the 1990s, when everybody was getting
rich, but the sharp decline in public markets (and hence private
equity valuations) has put a far higher premium on precision in
reporting.
Just ask William Franklin, managing director of Bank of America
Capital Corp., who oversees the private equity portion of the Bank
of America Corp. subsidiary's $5 billion in investment funds,
distributed among 200 venture and buyout firms. Franklin is
chairman of the Private Equity Industry Guidelines Group, a
consortium of investors that is exploring ways to standardize
valuation and reporting methods for its own purposes -- and perhaps
for eventual public consumption. "I can get all the information if
I ask, but how much time do I want to spend doing that?" Franklin
says. "To answer questions from my management intelligently, I need
to know what's going on in the underlying companies. I want more
consistency in valuation methodologies and consistency in the level
of data that's exchanged."
UNTIL THE EARLY 1990S, PRIVATE EQUITY WAS A cliquish cottage
industry that attracted at most a few billion dollars in a typical
year -- mainly from well-heeled investors who understood and
accepted the risks of these relatively high-stake bets. No more. In
2000, the year the technology boom peaked, venture capitalists
raised $107 billion, and other private equity funds -- including
those investing in buyouts and mezzanine stages -- rang up $87
billion more, according to Thomson Venture Economics and the
National Venture Capital Association. Net new venture capital
fundraising plunged to about $2 billion in 2002, with other private
equity at $32 billion, but the cumulative flood of liquidity into
nonpublic investments has spawned an ever-expanding circle of
interested parties -- among them, public pension funds seeking to
diversify their portfolios. In 2002 these institutions were
responsible for slightly more than 20 percent of venture capital
investments and perhaps as much as 30 percent or more of buyout
funds.
CalPERS, for example, says that it has committed to invest $19.6
billion in its alternative-investment management program, but as of
the end of April, it had deployed only $6.7 billion, 4.9 percent of
CalPERS's total portfolio of $137.8 billion. The annual internal
rate of return on those private equity investments as of December
31, was 8.8 percent. (The pension fund's top executives declined to
be interviewed for this article.)
"The scale of some of the funds, and the multiple sources from
which they collect their funds, requires that they behave as large
institutions to some degree, with some standard procedures that
they can point to and that investors rely upon," says Colin
Blaydon, a director and former dean of the Foster Center for
Private Equity at Dartmouth University's Tuck School of
Business.
Ted Dintersmith, a partner at Charles River Ventures in Waltham,
Massachusetts, and a director of the National Venture Capital
Association, says that although general partners may agree in
principle on the need for better disclosure, that doesn't mean that
they are eager to oblige -- especially after two consecutive years
in which venture capital losses exceeded 20 percent.
General partners' biggest worry is that revealing internal rates
of return, the common benchmark for private equity performance
during the life of a fund, would put them on a slippery slope that
could lead to the exposure of confidential data that might cause
damage to companies in their portfolios. They fear that financial
or qualitative information could tip off outsiders about a
strategic breakthrough or competitive weakness. Poor performance of
a venture fund could hinder its ability to raise additional
capital.
Moreover, public plans and general partners alike fret that the
lay observer will not appreciate the long-term nature of these
investments and will misinterpret performance numbers that are
grounded in the highly subjective process of valuing illiquid
entities.
Funds typically post sharp declines in their first few years --
a phenomenon known as the J-curve -- when management fees pile up
and portfolio companies aren't ready for the initial public
offerings or mergers that provide the greatest returns to
investors. Industry experts maintain that internal rates of return
have little significance until at least midway through a fund's
typical ten-to-12-year life span and that the only measure that
really counts is the money returned when a fund reaches the end of
its term.
Sanjay Subhedar, a founding partner at Storm Ventures in Palo
Alto, California, dismisses interim IRRs as "absolutely
meaningless. Disclosing IRRs on a quarterly basis is like taking
the score every two seconds in a basketball game." Of course,
basketball fans do exactly that -- and private equity investors get
their scores on a quarterly basis.
Instead of remaining reactive and defensive in response to
public requests, private equity players are moving to improve the
way portfolio companies are valued, which is the basis for the
funds' performance numbers. The nearly two-year-old Private Equity
Industry Guidelines Group is at the forefront of this trend. PEIGG
has 18 member companies, including General Motors Investment
Management Corp., Grove Street Advisors, HarbourVest Partners, J.P.
Morgan Chase & Co. and Financial Technologies, provider of the
Investran accounting system used by many private equity firms.
PEIGG aims to complete a first draft later this year of
recommended guidelines for portfolio valuation and performance
reporting -- a document that it hopes will preempt formal
government intervention. Although there have been no statements to
suggest that private equity is in its sights, the Securities and
Exchange Commission is bearing down on the lightly regulated hedge
fund sector, and venture capitalists fear they might be its next
target. "We believe we should self-police and not let the
government come in and drive regulation," says PEIGG's
Franklin.
As recently as a year ago, there was little to indicate that the
private equity disclosure issue would create such excitement. For
years a handful of states, including Alaska and Washington, had
been disclosing private equity performance data, consistent with
their interpretation of local open-records laws. Doing so became
routine and was little noticed except by interested parties like
labor unions and researchers.
But disclosure became a cause célèbre after the collapse of the
stock market bubble and the corporate scandals that ensued. The
reporting by the San Jose Mercury News attracted the most
attention because it went after the biggest fund of all,
CalPERS.
The Mercury News wasn't the first newspaper to confront a
state pension agency. In 1999 the Houston Chronicle
investigated the University of Texas Investment Management Co.'s
private equity portfolio. The paper reported that almost a third of
the investments made between 1995 and 1998 -- totaling $1.7 billion
-- were in firms having political or personal ties to either
Utimco's then-chairman, Thomas Hicks, the founder of buyout shop
Hicks, Muse, Tate & Furst, or to then- governor George W. Bush.
Last year the Chronicle filed an open-records request that,
as in the California case, resulted in a settlement. In September
the Utimco board, pushed by a decision from thenstate attorney
general John Cornyn, decided to release IRRs and cash-in and
cash-out totals for 149 completed and active funds worth a combined
$1.8 billion.
Freedom-of-information-style requests from newspapers and other
entities across the country have multiplied. But general partners
at private equity shops appear to be winning their argument against
pension funds and other disclosure advocates who have called for
specific information about portfolio companies. Says Charles
River's Dintersmith: "We give a fair amount of information about
the status of our current portfolio companies to limited partners.
We'll fight to the death to prevent that from reaching the public.
It would be incredibly detrimental."
Even disclosure of aggregate IRRs could cramp portfolio
managers' investment styles. "Imagine that a guy reading the paper
sees that Utimco's pension funds have been losing money," says
Jonathan Silver, a general partner at Core Capital Partners in
Washington, D.C. "Then he calls the union guy, who calls the
limited partners. You can then imagine the pressure about what
kinds of investments the funds are making. That could make it very
hard to manage a ten-year fund."
On the flip side, more public awareness of IRR data could bring
more questioning of the accuracy of portfolio company valuations
and an improvement in transparency that many investors would
welcome. Determining a private company's worth involves a lot of
guesswork. It requires general partners to make judgments about the
unrealized value of portfolio companies -- estimates that in turn
must account for intangibles like the state of technology and the
quality of management.
Aware of these pitfalls, CalPERS and others have added sections
to their published reports and Web sites, explaining the valuation
difficulties, the long-term nature of these investments and the
J-curve effect (see box).
Ironically, the push toward greater transparency could narrow
the range of information that general partners are willing to share
with limited partners, such as public pension funds, that are
exposed to state open-records requirements. "We're beginning to see
some GPs restricting the information that they're providing to us,
which either necessitates an on-site visit to inspect financial
data or a dialogue about how to protect information necessary for
proper oversight," says Washington State's Dear.
The consequences of disclosure by public agencies -- intended or
otherwise -- will become apparent over the next year, when many
private equity firms are expected to try to raise new funds to
succeed those that they raised at the height of the dot-com boom.
Because these new funds are likely to be smaller, in keeping with
the more constrained investment climate, the funds raising money
can afford to be choosier.
Clint Harris, co-founder and managing partner of Wellesley,
Massachusettsbased Grove Street Advisors, which oversees CalPERS's
private equity portfolio, reckons that 20 to 40 venture shops could
choose not to take capital from public pension funds. "We've got
two in our portfolio that care about having their performance data
disclosed, and access will be limited next time," Harris says,
adding that he thinks the impact on CalPERS's financial performance
will not be material.
"Access is a major concern," says Dear. "If we can't do business
with the best investment organizations, it limits our ability to
generate returns for the beneficiaries."
HOWEVER THE PRIVATE EQUITY INDUSTRY navigates the battleground
over public disclosure, it will have to come to grips with
valuation standards. Valuation questions caused plenty of headaches
during the market downturn as institutional investors struggled to
get a good read on how their private equity investments were
faring.
More than half of the private equity funds in the U.S. base
their valuation methodology on proposals issued, but never
officially adopted, by the National Venture Capital Association in
1990, according to a survey of 288 venture firms conducted last
fall by the Foster Center at Dartmouth. When the bubble was
inflating, these guidelines yielded conservative results: They
prescribe that investments in portfolio companies be carried at
cost until a new round of financing or material change indicates a
different value. Therefore, valuation increases generally lagged
behind fair market values.
That worked well when times were good; everyone likes good news.
But as the market turned bearish, the NVCA method often
overestimated portfolio company valuations. And because subjective
judgments play a big role in assessments, different venture capital
firms often attach different valuations to the same portfolio
company. That can make it difficult for institutional investors to
monitor their private equity performance and make accurate reports
to their boards.
"We have various GPs reporting portfolio companies differently,"
says BofA's Franklin. "The more standardization, the easier it
would be for us to assess our portfolio."
The pending guidelines from the Franklin-led PEIGG are meant to
supersede the de facto NVCA standards, applying to interim
valuations in venture capital and, unlike the NVCA's, also to
buyout funds. Whereas the NVCA rules rely mainly on "liquidity
events" such as new investment rounds to calculate a valuation, the
PEIGG will likely encourage general partners to factor in more
subjective variables to get timelier fair-value estimates
consistent with international accounting conventions. For instance,
general partners could be pushed to explain and measure how a
company is executing against its business plan as well as account
for the movement of public market indexes.
Most limited partners are not big fans of this modification,
because it would result in increased volatility and less
consistency in funds' portfolio company valuations and because it
doesn't fully reflect the long-term speculative nature of venture
investments. But it is favored by public companies that must mark
their private equity investments to market on a quarterly basis and
by public pension funds whose (now public) quarterly performance
data will be scrutinized by beneficiaries. For public companies
that have sharply curtailed their private equity portfolios since
the market peak, the benefits of greater transparency and accuracy
in valuations would more than offset any increase in volatility.
"We're part of a bank with $769 billion in assets," says BofA's
Franklin. "My portfolio is not material."
Kevin Delbridge, a managing director at private equity firm
HarbourVest Partners in Boston and head of PEIGG's valuation
subcommittee, believes that the group is taking a conservative
approach that will make interim valuation changes less abrupt.
"We need to move up to the next level in terms of
professionalizing reporting and value," declares Delbridge, who
estimates that current venture capital valuations are overstated
and could fall 20 percent this year. "We need to reduce the amount
of wiggle room," he says, in part by encouraging closer
consultations between limited and general partners. "We'd like to
see greater transparency for the LPs and give them the opportunity
to give advice and guidance to the GPs."
Adds PEIGG chairman Franklin: "Fair market value is in the eye
of the beholder, so we suggest that there be interaction between
general partners and the investors in the fund. At least there
should be an acceptance by LPs that this is an acceptable set of
valuation policies."
The British Venture Capital Association, the other major
industry body working to codify standards, issued a set of
reporting and valuation guidelines on July 7. Consistent with
international accounting norms, they endorse greater use of
rigorous fair-value assessments and timely reporting practices.
"There may be a compromise approach that appeals to the
underlying principle of fair value but still recognizes the nature
of this asset class -- and to which people in the accounting
profession would say, 'All right,'" says Dartmouth's Blaydon.
"We're at least six months away from knowing, but there needs to be
a resolution within the next year. There's still a lot of bad news
to come out, and otherwise things will be seen as secret and
nontransparent."
Battered by market volatility, targeted by the press and wary of
government regulation, the private equity business is coming out in
the open, and its principal players must get accustomed to the
glare.
Throwing the J-curve
Pressed for the first time to disclose details of their private
equity investments, public pension plans may be throwing their
members a curve -- literally.
The institutions are prefacing their disclosures with detailed
disclaimers that provide, in essence, a crash course on the
J-curve. That's the figure that illustrates the propensity of
private equity funds to post negative returns in their early years
-- when portfolio companies are burning cash -- before delivering
sharply higher returns as they climb to profitability or are sold
or taken public.
Readers must plow through these disclaimers before getting to
the bottom-line internal rates of return. The University of Texas
Investment Management Co. puts its 149-word disclaimer on every
page of its report, beginning with "WARNING: Due to a number of
factors, including most importantly a lack of valuation standards
in the private equity industry, differences in the pace of
investments across partnerships and the understatement of returns
in the early years of a partnership life, the IRR information in
this report DOES NOT accurately reflect the current or expected
future returns of the partnerships."
Besides educating plan participants, such wording provides cover
for the pension funds' wretched results from investments made in
1999, 2000 and 2001, while not offending general partners who
prefer not to bring too much attention to their poor early-stage
performance.
Consider the 1999 fund Telecom Partners III, into which the
Washington State Investment Board had sunk $46.3 million as of
year-end 2002. Since inception the value of the investment had
shrunk to $4.7 million, for an annualized internal rate of return
of 64.2 percent.
In 2001 the California Public Employees' Retirement System
committed $325 million to Lombard Pacific III but only got around
to investing $1.4 million. As of the end of last December, the
value had shriveled to $14,000 as the fund had lost more than 99
percent of its value.
It's hard to do worse than that, but CalPERS tags all of its
alternative-investment returns on 1998-vintage-and-later funds "not
meaningful." As its Web site explains it, "Industry practice
dictates that these funds are in the early stages of their
investment life cycle, and any performance analysis done on these
funds would not generate meaningful results as private equity funds
are understood to be long-term investments."
Still, there is an upside, which explains why public pension
funds continue to allocate portions of their portfolios to private
equity.
Despite a recent string of duds, the University of Michigan has
enjoyed a slew of home-run investments, including Matrix Partners
IV, a 1995 fund that had a net annual IRR of 223 percent as of the
end of June 2002, and Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers III,
launched in 1996, which posted a net IRR of 287 percent.
Utimco says its private equity returns have outperformed the
Standard & Poor's 500 index on a one-, three-, five- and
ten-year basis. CalPERS reports that its currently active
investments of $10.8 billion in 350 funds had a net annualized IRR
of 8.8 percent as of year-end 2002. That's impressive, considering
that the weighted average age of CalPERS's portfolio is 3.7 years.
Going forward, the J-curve should make it even better. --
S.B.